Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.183233 0.215736 0.252040 0.295558 0.346271 0.403466 0.472836
2025-09-28 0.133262 0.174666 0.225786 0.293391 0.380290 0.488077 0.631773
2025-10-05 0.111323 0.157962 0.219961 0.308071 0.429707 0.591320 0.821931
2025-10-12 0.097885 0.148254 0.219381 0.326574 0.483375 0.703593 1.035477
2025-10-19 0.085403 0.136967 0.213739 0.335513 0.522824 0.798816 1.234804
2025-10-26 0.073756 0.124604 0.204028 0.335970 0.548311 0.874932 1.413082
2025-11-02 0.062336 0.110553 0.189308 0.325880 0.555069 0.921872 1.550091
2025-11-09 0.052121 0.096782 0.172867 0.310249 0.550028 0.948272 1.655417
2025-11-16 0.046234 0.089558 0.166277 0.310027 0.570078 1.016823 1.836542
2025-11-23 0.040065 0.080847 0.155815 0.301378 0.573930 1.057534 1.973139
2025-11-30 0.036716 0.076944 0.153483 0.307052 0.603823 1.146214 2.202956
2025-12-07 0.033149 0.072069 0.148635 0.307214 0.623159 1.217289 2.407154
2025-12-14 0.029166 0.066001 0.141150 0.302252 0.634004 1.277371 2.604677
2025-12-21 0.025955 0.061104 0.135430 0.300263 0.650870 1.351597 2.839758
2025-12-28 0.024639 0.060153 0.137761 0.315295 0.704254 1.503253 3.245433
2026-01-04 0.023728 0.059973 0.141693 0.334219 0.768004 1.682492 3.726685
2026-01-11 0.022156 0.057970 0.141272 0.343359 0.811516 1.824123 4.143958
2026-01-18 0.020171 0.054631 0.137313 0.343826 0.835617 1.926738 4.487950
2026-01-25 0.017771 0.049845 0.129255 0.333509 0.833608 1.971855 4.709578
2026-02-01 0.015368 0.044642 0.119430 0.317525 0.816141 1.980180 4.848466
2026-02-08 0.014056 0.042173 0.116110 0.317298 0.836697 2.077731 5.204021
2026-02-15 0.012490 0.038727 0.109774 0.308454 0.834696 2.121904 5.437527
2026-02-22 0.011722 0.037457 0.109038 0.314256 0.870644 2.260869 5.914892